Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs host the New Orleans Saints this Monday, May 7, in Monday Night Football for Week 5 of the 2024-25 NFL season. The undefeated Chiefs face the Saints at 6:15 p.m. (CDMX time) at Arrowhead Stadium, located in Kansas City.
The team led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid has already won 4 games this season and leads the AFC. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Saints, after a 2-win start, have lost their last 2 games and are in third place in the NFC South.
The Chiefs vs Saints game will be the one to close Week 5 of the regular season and as is not surprising, the Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints prediction is in favor of the Chiefs team, as they are undefeated and at home they are usually a very difficult team to beat. In addition, the Saints have been irregular on the road.
On the other hand, if you also follow football, you cannot miss the match between Tigres vs Puebla in an exciting match corresponding to matchday 11 of the Liga MX, where you can make your predictions on the favorite to win or even the total points.
Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints Prediction
Kansas City Chiefs win the game -233
More than 41.5 points are scored -122
Kansas City Chiefs score over 23.5 points
At Novibet you can find a wide variety of American football betting markets . For week 5, which closes with the Chiefs vs Saints match, the odds have a clear favorite: the team led by Patrick Mahomes, but in addition, there are other markets with good odds that are worth taking a look at.
Our first Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints prediction is for one of the most popular sports bets : match winner, also known as “moneyline”. Here the number of points is irrelevant, as long as you guess the winner. The odds favor the Chiefs to win the match with -233 , since playing at home they have everything they need to get another victory.
A New Orleans Saints win is priced at +190 , but it’s the least likely outcome considering how inconsistent the team started the season.
A $100.00 bet on the Kansas City Chiefs’ outcome would leave you with a profit of $142.90; while a bet of the same amount, but on the Saints’ victory, could leave you with a potential profit of $290.00.
Knowing the Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints history, another interesting bet is on total points.
Novibet’s line for Monday Night Football is 42.5. However, both of Kansas City’s home games this year have scored at least 47 points, while both of Atlanta’s road games have scored at least 50 points. Therefore, we think betting on over 41.5 points -122 is a good option.
On the other hand, the option of scoring less than 41.5 points has odds of -102, but it is an unlikely outcome considering the Kansas City Chiefs’ scoring tendency at home.
Taking into account the previous forecast, the third option we have is for the total points of the home team, this is an ideal market to put into practice in the live betting mode , since it is possible to bet in real time while the match is taking place.
So, considering that Patrick Mahomes’ team has averaged 25 points so far this season, our prediction is that the Kansas City Chiefs will score over 23.5 points .
Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints history and stats
The Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints history includes a list that indicates that they have faced each other 12 times in history . Taking a look at the numbers, the Chiefs have a slight advantage :
- 7 wins for the Chiefs
- 5 wins for the Saints
Since they play in different conferences, the two franchises typically only meet every 4 years. And that makes New Orleans’ win drought over Kansas City already 16 years old. The Chiefs have won the last 3 matchups: in 2012, 2016, and 2020 .
The last game between the two teams was in Week 15 of the 2020 season. Patrick Mahomes rushed for 254 yards and threw for 3 touchdowns, leading the Saints to a 32-29 victory at the New Orleans Superdome. The Saints still had Drew Brees at quarterback.
The last time the New Orleans Saints beat Kansas City was in 2008 , at the same Arrowhead Stadium that will host this Monday’s game. Adding only the games in Missouri, the record for the game is 2 wins for the Chiefs against 3 for the Saints. Still, the Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints prediction has Andy Reid’s team as the favorites to win this new matchup.
Kansas City Chiefs: Latest games
The current two-time NFL champions, the Chiefs began the 2024-25 season proving that they are once again the main NFL betting favorite and a title contender. Kansas City now has 4 wins in 4 games , against the Ravens, Bengals, Falcons and Chargers.
The performances, however, have left much to be desired. Every game has been decided by one possession, and quarterback Patrick Mahomes is third in the NFL in interceptions, with five in four games. In addition, the Chiefs have already lost two key starters to injuries: running back Isiah Pacheco and receiver Rashee Rice, neither of whom have a timetable for returning to the team.
Last Sunday, Kansas City traveled to Los Angeles and won the divisional duel against the Chargers by 17-10. After this victory, these are the Chiefs’ statistics for the season:
- Rushing yards: 111 carries, 450 yards, 3 touchdowns
- Passing yards: 83/121 passing (68.6%), 904 yards, 6 TD
- Rushing leader: Siash Pacheco, 135 yards (injured)
- Receiving yards leader: Rashee Rice, 288 yards (injured)
The Chiefs have won their last 3 regular season home games , in addition to wins over Baltimore and Cincinnati in 2024, Kansas City also beat the Bengals in 2023. The last loss at Arrowhead Stadium was to the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 16 of last year.
For this reason, it does not surprise us that the Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints prediction favors the Chiefs by a wide margin.
New Orleans Saints: Last games
The New Orleans Saints started the 2024-25 NFL season in a way that not even the most optimistic of their fans expected. There were two devastating wins over the Carolina Panthers and the Dallas Cowboys. However, then came narrow losses against the Philadelphia Eagles and the Atlanta Falcons.
The team’s standout so far is the offensive playmakers. Quarterback Derek Carr is having a very consistent season, with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions so far. Running back Alvin Kamara ranks fourth in rushing yards in the league.
In Week 4, New Orleans went to Atlanta and ended up losing 26-24 in the divisional game. Mistakes by the defense and the specialist team cost them the victory on the road. Here are the Saints’ statistics for the season:
- Rushing yards: 138 carries, 590 yards, 9 touchdowns
- Passing yards: 72/101 passes (71.3%), 824 yards, 6 TD
- Rushing leader: Alvin Kamara, 362 yards
- Receiving yards leader: Chris Olave, 265 yards
In their last five regular-season road games, the Saints are 2-3. This year, New Orleans beat the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2 and lost to Atlanta in the aforementioned game.
